Preoperative prognostic score for predicting survival after hepatic resection for colorectal liver metastases

Ann Surg. 2007 Nov;246(5):806-14. doi: 10.1097/SLA.0b013e318142d964.

Abstract

Background: Despite indications for resection of colorectal liver metastases having expanded, debate continues about identifying patients that may benefit from surgery.

Methods: Clinicopathologic data from a total of 700 patients was gathered between January 1993 and January 2006 from a prospectively maintained dataset. Of these, 687 patients underwent resection for colorectal liver metastases.

Results: The median age of patient was 64 years and 36.8% of patients had synchronous disease. The overall 5-year survival was 45%. The presence of an inflammatory response to tumor (IRT), defined by an elevated C-reactive protein (>10 mg/L) or a neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio of >5:1, was noted in 24.5% of cases. Only the number of metastases and the presence or absence of an IRT influenced both overall and disease-free survival on multivariable analysis. A preoperative prognostic score was derived: 0 = less than 8 metastases and absence of IRT; 1 = 8 or more metastases or IRT, and 2 = 8 or more metastases and IRT-from the results of the multivariable analysis. The 5-year survival of those scoring 0 was 49% compared with 34% for those scoring 1. None of the patients that scored 2 were alive at 5 years.

Conclusion: The preoperative prognostic score is a simple and effective system allowing preoperative stratification.

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • C-Reactive Protein / metabolism
  • Cohort Studies
  • Colorectal Neoplasms / blood
  • Colorectal Neoplasms / mortality*
  • Colorectal Neoplasms / pathology*
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Leukocyte Count
  • Liver Neoplasms / mortality
  • Liver Neoplasms / secondary*
  • Liver Neoplasms / surgery*
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Risk Factors
  • Survival Rate
  • Treatment Outcome

Substances

  • C-Reactive Protein