Clinical Investigations
Optimizing patient selection for dose escalation techniques using the prostate-specific antigen level, biopsy gleason score, and clinical T-stage

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Abstract

Purpose: Ideal candidates for 3D dose escalation conformal radiation or external beam + implant therapy are identified on the basis of the prostate-specific antigen (PSA) level, biopsy Gleason score, and the 1992 American Joint Commission Cancer (AJCC) clinical T-stage.

Methods and Materials: The pathologic findings of 1742 men with clinical stage T1c,2 prostate cancer managed with a radical prostatectomy (RP) between 1990 and 1998 were subjected to a logistic regression multivariable analysis. The endpoints examined included pathologic organ–confined (OC), specimen-confined (SC), and margin (M) or seminal vesicle (SV) positive disease. SC disease was defined as extracapsular extension (ECE) with a negative surgical margin. The clinical factors tested included PSA level, biopsy Gleason score, and the 1992 AJCC clinical T-stage. PSA failure–free (bNED) survival was calculated according to the method of Kaplan and Meier.

Results: Significant negative predictors of pathologic OC–disease or positive predictors of M+ or SV+ disease included a PSA > 10 ng/ml (p < 0.0001), biopsy Gleason score ≥7 (p ≤ 0.0004), and ≥ T2b disease (p ≤ 0.03). Only biopsy Gleason score 7 (p = 0.0006) and PSA 10–15 ng/ml (p = 0.04) were significant predictors of SC disease. The estimates of 5-year bNED survival were 80%, 62%, and 35% (p < 0.0001) for patients having a low, intermediate, or high likelihood of having M+ or SV+ disease respectively.

Conclusions: Patients most likely to derive a survival benefit from the improved local control possible using dose escalation techniques were those who had both a low risk of having occult micrometastatic disease (<25% M+ or SV+) and a reasonable likelihood of remaining disease-free after RP (>50% 5-year bNED). These patients included those having T1c, 2a, PSA > 10–15 ng/ml, and biopsy Gleason ≤6 or T1c, 2a, 2b, PSA ≤ 10 ng/ml, and biopsy Gleason ≤ 7 prostate cancer.

Introduction

Data from the surgical literature 1, 2 have suggested that the cancer-specific survival after radical prostatectomy (RP) decreases as one advances from pathologic organ–confined to specimen-confined (extracapsular extension [ECE] with negative surgical margins) to positive-margin, seminal vesicle–positive, and finally lymph node–positive disease. These decrements in cancer-specific survival could be due to local failure that in time metastasizes and becomes a distant failure. However, a significant proportion of these deaths are likely due to the increasing incidence of occult distant micrometastatic disease present in men with a more advanced pathologic stage at the time of the RP.

Therefore, selecting the patient likely to derive a survival benefit from the use of dose escalation radiotherapy techniques would have two requirements. First, the probability of seminal vesicle invasion, margin-positive or lymph-node–positive disease would need to be low in order to minimize the risk of occult micrometastatic disease. Second, there would need to be a high likelihood that radical local therapy could ablate the entire volume of cancer. The likelihood of success in this regard may be approximated from the prostate-specific antigen (PSA) failure–free (bNED) survival after RP. Identifying these patients prior to therapy, on the basis of the readily available pretreatment prognostic factors was the goal of this study.

Section snippets

Patient population

Seventeen hundred and forty-two men treated with a RP and bilateral pelvic lymph node dissection at the Hospital of the University of Pennsylvania (HUP) or the Brigham and Women’s (B&W) Hospital between 1990 and 1998 who had PSA detected or clinically palpable prostate cancer comprised the study population. Table 1 lists the preoperative clinical and postoperative pathological characteristics of the 1742 study patients.

Preoperative staging

In all cases, staging evaluation included a history and physical examination

Clinical predictors of pathologic stage

The significant negative predictors of pathologic organ–confined disease were analogous to the positive predictors of positive margins or seminal vesicle invasion. These clinical predictors included a PSA > 10 ng/ml (p < 0.0001), biopsy Gleason score ≥ 7 (p ≤ 0.0004), and ≥ T2b disease (p ≤ 0.03). Only biopsy Gleason score 7 (p = 0.0006) and PSA > 10–15 ng/ml (p = 0.04) were significant predictors of specimen-confined disease. Table 2 lists the complete set of p-values for the logistic

Discussion

Retrospective comparisons of patients managed with 3D dose escalation conformal external beam RT 8, 9, 10 or external beam + interstitial implant boost 11, 12 versus conventional-dose external beam RT have reported statistically significant improvements in bNED survival rates. One report from Hanks and colleagues (8) has suggested an improvement in overall survival for men treated with 3D dose escalation RT versus historical controls treated with external beam RT to conventional dose. While

Conclusion

Patients most likely to derive a survival benefit from the improved local control possible using dose escalation techniques in this study were those who had both a low risk of having occult micrometastatic disease (<25% M+ or SV+) and a reasonable likelihood of remaining disease-free after RP (>50% 5-year bNED). These patients included those having T1c, 2a, PSA > 10–15 ng/ml, and biopsy Gleason ≤6 or T1c, 2a, 2b, PSA ≤ 10 ng/ml, and biopsy Gleason ≤7 prostate cancer.

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