A Novel Pathological Prognostic Score (PPS) to Identify “Very High-Risk” Patients: a Multicenter Retrospective Analysis of 506 Patients with High Risk Gastrointestinal Stromal Tumor (GIST)

Abstract

Background

To determine the better risk stratification based on surgical pathology and to assess the clinical outcomes after curative resection with a new scoring system in high risk gastrointestinal stromal tumor (GIST) patients.

Methods

We retrospectively evaluated 506 high-risk GIST patients who underwent curative resection as initial treatment at four centers from 2001 to 2015.

Results

Multivariate analysis revealed that only Ki-67 labeling index (LI) and mitotic index were independent prognostic factors of overall survival (OS). For the two tumor-related pathological factors, Ki-67 LI > 7% and mitotic index ≥ 7/50 high power fields were allocated 1 point each. The total score was defined as the Pathological Prognostic Score (PPS). When Ki-67 LI and mitotic index were replaced by PPS, a multivariate analysis still identified PPS as an independent predictor of OS (HR 2.719; 95% CI 1.309–5.650; P = 0.007). Patients with a PPS of 0, 1, or 2 had a 5-year survival of 91.8, 79.8, and 51.0%, respectively (P = 0.001). Furthermore, an elevated PPS (PPS = 2) was associated with larger tumor size, non-stomach tumor, and open resection (all P < 0.05).

Conclusion

The PPS independently predicted postoperative survival in high-risk GIST, and it might facilitate the selection of appropriate treatment strategy for these patients.