Role of Radical Surgery Following Preoperative Chemoradiotherapy in Octogenarians With Rectal Cancer: A SEER Analysis

Abstract

Background/Aim: There has been a growing trend toward a watch-and-wait strategy to avoid surgery. This study evaluated the prognostic outcomes of nonoperative management following chemoradiotherapy (CRT) in the very old patients with rectal cancer. Patients and Methods: Using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database, we conducted a retrospective analysis of octogenarians (age ≥80 years) with stage II-III rectal cancer who received neoadjuvant CRT with or without radical surgery between 2005 and 2016. Long-term survival outcomes of the two treatment strategies were compared. Results: Propensity-matched cohorts were identified and analyzed for CRT followed by radical surgery vs. CRT alone (n=782). The 7-year rates of overall survival (OS) and disease-specific survival (DSS) of the two groups were 43% vs. 11% and 57% vs. 26%, respectively (p<0.001 for both comparisons). Radical surgery after CRT was the strongest prognostic factor associated with improved OS and DSS [hazard ratio (HR)=2.66 and 95% confidence interval (CI)=2.15-3.28 for OS; HR=2.50 and 95%CI=1.94-3.24 for DSS]. Based on the time-course hazard rate function plots of disease-specific mortality, short-term and late risk increments were observed in patients who underwent nonoperative management. Conclusion: This study highlights the importance of an active treatment strategy with radical surgery even in the highest age population with rectal cancer. Omitting surgery may not generally be considered safe when it is considered solely on chronological age. Further research is needed to identify the appropriate indications for nonoperative management.